Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Contention is bound to increase

Environmentalist have always argued as "declining environment" is "global in scope" it has
potential to bring the Nations together. However, a closer examination of the issue reveals
that we are trying to predict the future only by looking at one side of the coin.The degrading
Environment is not going to the bring world the together, rather it will increase the
hostility between the nations.

Fist and foremost, with development of the underdeveloped countries their consumption of the
fuel will increase. There will greater contention among nations for limited fossil fuels. When
a nation develops, it have to ignore the long term issue and concentrate on issues which is
exigent at hand. As the nation will try to increase their industrial productivity they will
seek more energy. These nations will only care for the increasing the productivity and in turn
overall profitability. This will in turn effect the environment, as the energy efficient
techniques are capital and investment intensive. The situation has started to appear with the
emergence of the BRIc(Brazil. Russia, India and China). They are the power hungry. They have
just started to develop and started to show there tooth of cub. They are ignorant of the
declining environment as their priority is the sole development.


The Developed nations are not also solving the problem. In fact they form the other group of
the contention. The Developed nations have much higher per capita consumption of fuel or term
more relevant to us per captia emission, which represent the percentage share of envirnoment
decline by each individual. In such a scenario, it gravely unfair to ask the developing
countries to cut back emission. Only when the developing country can come in par with
developed country, contention can be resolved the author conclusion can be said to be valid.
For instance, the recent failure of the kyoto protocol is the glaring example. The difference
,well its economics, between developed and developing nation is progeny of the prevalent
contentions.

The problem relies in the essential mentality of the people. They try to overlook the long
term loss in advent of the short term gain. Going with the same logic each of the player will
think of their short term gain than that of the long term loss which is envirnoment decline.
This is compliance with the game theory in which the future condition will not only depend on
the one player decision and market decision but also with decisions made by the other player.
While it is clear that the decline in the environment will essentially leads to more
contention amongst the nations. The problem can be resolved by each nation looks their long
term loss and abide the responsibilities they indebted to the world. The invention of the more
cleaner alternatives of the fuel is also big bet although a distant one.

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